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Uganda

AI-Driven TB Hotspot Mapping and Microplanning to Strengthen Case Finding

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Project Context 

 

Despite strong efforts by the National TB Program and its partners, Uganda continues to face challenges in detecting and treating all TB cases - particularly in underserved and remote areas. Traditional approaches relying on aggregated notification data often fail to identify true burden at community level, leading to missed opportunities for early diagnosis and intervention. In collaboration with USAID and iDi (Infectious Diseases Institute), EPCON is implementing an AI-powered solution that provides high-resolution insights to drive smarter, more targeted screening strategies across Uganda.

Project Objectives

  • Predict and map TB burden at subnational level to identify high-risk neighborhoods

  • Prioritize locations for community and facility-based Active Case Finding (ACF)

  • Develop automated microplanning recommendations to optimize screening schedules

  • Provide real-time dashboards and geospatial tools to monitor program performance

  • Strengthen local capacity through training and digital integration

EPCON's Approach 

 

EPCON’s Epi-control platform is being deployed in Uganda to support data-driven TB control using two core modules:

  • Module 1 – Subnational Disease Burden Prediction: Combines TB surveillance, demographic, geographic, and environmental data using Bayesian modeling to identify potential TB hotspots with high precision

  • Module 2 – Microplanning: Generates bi-weekly recommendations for screening locations

 

Additional features include:

  • A Geoportal that displays predicted hotspots and contextual overlays for field planning

  • An M&E Dashboard that tracks screening progress, demographic coverage, and care cascade in near real-time

Key Outcomes and Impact (Expected)

  • Enhanced visibility into underserved areas and hidden TB hotspots

  • Improved efficiency of ACF teams by prioritizing high-yield locations

  • Real-time monitoring of program performance at district and national levels

  • Strengthened local ownership and digital capacity for sustainable public health impact

  • Platform setup completed in 2024; AI-based screening recommendations and impact validation expected from Q4 2024 onward

Partners and Collaborations 

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